All factors that equate with long-term electoral success seem to be swinging in the favor of the Democratic Party.
According to Pew Research, by 2055 America will be majority-minority with groups like Hispanics and African-Americans comprising a greater portion of the population and therefore the electorate than ever before.
Hillary Clinton carried those demographics in 2016 by 36 and 80 points respectively. Likewise, she carried Americans aged 18-29 by 18 points, college educated voters by nine points, and of course carried the popular vote by over a million ballots.
The entering group of congress members in 2018 was widely touted as the most diverse in history, with a majority of that “diversity” on the side of the Democrats.
In terms of funding and especially cultural clout, the Democrats’ prospects for future success are equally bright. According to Bloomberg, during the 2016 campaign, the Democrats raised nearly twice as much money as the Republicans overall, Clinton pulled double the amount of funding as Trump from Super-PACs, and a sizable chunk of the Trump campaign, 66 million dollars, was financed by the president himself.
A majority of Silicon Valley executives and employees are left-leaning, a majority of college professors identify with the Democrats, and the arts and entertainment industry demonstrates a marked tendency to the left.
All of these indicators suggest that while the electoral, financial, and cultural power of the Democrats will continue to grow, the Republican Party will continue to stagnate. Given these trends, it may be worth asking how the Democratic Party can be stopped from achieving total electoral dominance at the federal level.
The answer is simple. Destroy the Republican Party.
As someone who considers themselves to be of a reactionary or conservative bent, there are few institutions more frustrating than the Republican Party.
During their time as the “conservative” party in American politics, they have failed at almost every turn to conserve anything other than free market economics.
Their failure as a political force is most pronounced in the area of social policy, where in recent years it has become clear that their stance on the hot-button issues of the culture wars have been nothing but a series of defeats.
On the issue of immigration enforcement, there are now around 11 million illegal residents in this country who will likely never leave. On the issue of abortion, Roe v. Wade is still the law of the land and New York can pass late-term abortion bills with impunity while Louisiana’s law requiring abortionists to have admitting privileges at nearby hospitals is shot down in the Supreme Court.
Not only has the Obergefell decision enshrined gay marriage as a constitutional right, but it has spawned a new rights regime that has been the basis of a years long protracted campaign by the state of Colorado against a Christian baker that has only recently been dropped.
In case your civics class was too long ago, Roe v. Wade ruled that laws prohibiting access to abortion were unconstitutional.
While judicial activism is a large contributing factor, the failure of Republicans to capture enough seats to keep the courts on their side is theirs to own. And outside of policy, the traditional family is historically weak, recreational drug use and addiction seems to be on the upsurge, and traditionally religious Americans now fear reprisals both from the private and public sector.
Even as the Trump administration has attempted to push their agenda, which I would characterize less as conservative and more as “Trumpian,” they have been halted at every turn by lawsuits and lower court injunctions and subject to debilitating leaks by self-important bureaucrats in the departments of the executive branch.
But while the Democratic machine may seem like a juggernaut, their electoral strategy has several readily-apparent flaws. The most glaring is the strange and often contradictory camps that have come to fall under the tent of the American left.
The Democratic Party is the only institution I can think of that simultaneously panders to and is supported by billionaires and Marxists, LGBT activists and conservative Muslims, upwardly mobile whites and minorities, and radical progressives as well as stale Clintonite social Democrats.
It is worth asking what glue keeps the party together, and the answer is: Republicans.
Trump and the Republicans serve as an easy foil to every one of these groups. To Silicon Valley, the Republicans are dangerous for their interrogations into anti-conservative bias by those corportations. Their pro-market stances obviously irk committed leftists. The Democrats have successfully tarred the Republicans as the party of racial and religious bigotry. To the casual observer, it would seem that the Democratic coalition is cobbled together entirely from a patchwork of groups in opposition to, or at least outside of, the white working class.
This leads me to conclude that the best way to beat the Democratic coalition is to remove its reason for existing. If the Republican Party were to wither and die, so too would the Democrats. And from the ashes of both we might cobble together a more representative, perhaps more sane political arrangement.
